Individualized Prospective Prediction of Opioid Use Disorder

Original research
by
Liu, Yang S. et al

Release Date

2022

Geography

Canada

Language of Resource

English

Full Text Available

Yes

Open Access / OK to Reproduce

No

Peer Reviewed

Yes

Objective

In the current study, we aimed to develop and prospectively validate an ML model that could predict individual OUD cases based on representative large-scale health data.

Findings/Key points

With 6409 OUD cases in 2019, our model prospectively predicted OUD cases at a high accuracy (balanced accuracy, 86%, sensitivity, 93%; specificity 79%). In accord with prior findings, the top risk factors for OUD in this model were opioid use indicators and a history of other substance use disorders.

Design/methods

Machine-learning model trained on a cross-linked Canadian administrative health data set

Keywords

About PWUD
Digital health